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January 2, 2013

Megaupload: Crooks or Corsairs?

Filed under: Big Ideas,Finance and Economics,Guest Post,Innovation,Uncategorized — 800-CEO-READ @ 4:57 pm
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Rodolphe
Durand
Jean-Philippe
Vergne

by Rodolphe Durand & Jean-Philippe Vergne

Kim Dotcom and his company Megaupload have just crossed over to the dark side. What can we learn from this contemporary pirate’s tale? Once a hard-working employee for well-established companies, Kim Dotcom became a crook, stealing for his own good whilst the State desperately tried to make new legislations to prevent file sharing from proliferating. Just like in a regular TV series, in the end the FBI stepped in to forcibly question Pirate Dotcom on the island where he had found refuge. The FBI also stopped to lay up the vessels of his computer-geek fleet. After Napster did it for music, Megaupload stirred things up with the diffusion of TV programs and films, posing questions about laws regarding intellectual property and the exchange of cultural contents. Indeed, recent events are beginning to show signs of a recurring motif in economic history.

With each great capitalist revolution—orchestrated by States that impose their norms on property and exchange in the name of their sovereignty—we see a new corresponding form of organized piracy emerge, whether it is in the sea, via radio waves, or on the internet. This constitutes a historical motif that is essential to capitalist dynamics and that penetrates a whole collection of peripheral, dissenting and innovative organizations at the heart of State-Company relations. In effect, the actions of pirate organizations highlight the evolution of capitalist societies ever since the Americans made their very first discoveries. Indeed, with every industrial revolution, sovereign States have either granted or passively allowed monopolies to bloom in order to control the economic flux generated at the heart of new capitalist territories (e.g. the monopoly of Western Companies in the Indian Ocean, of AT&T in telecoms, of Microsoft and Google in new technologies). Pirate organizations are consistently challenging this state of affairs. In the latest movement, certain “pirates” have chosen to return to the legal spheres, finding jobs at the heart of the very States or companies that they once threatened. They have become “corsairs.”

This “corsairisation” of pirates is one of the most powerful sources of economic and social change. The pirates of the seas in the 17th Century fought against the monopolization of the companies of the Indies and yet every country in Europe warmly welcomed pirates that had become corsairs in order to thwart the exchanges of their rivals. Pirate radio stations at the start of the 20th Century were transmitted over the airwaves evading all state authorization, but after the war they were swiftly incorporated onto the radio broadcasting scene. Hackers and computer pirates on telephone networks and on the internet are constantly challenging program censors operated by the giants of the sector. However, the best hackers in fine either succeed in creating their companies or end up being hired by Microsoft and Google. Kim Dotcom pushed the boundaries of the law several times. Perhaps this time definitively as he seems to have sunk to the depths of robbery, rather than rising to the spirit of piracy.

Thus, there can be no capitalism without sovereignty and without rules. But equally, if we allow the regulation of territories and the normalization of exchanges to continue to surface, then even more spaces will be created for pirate organizations to nestle into. Some pillage and plunder, others radically innovate, and some even do both at the same time. The challenge lies therefore in unearthing and “corsairising” the initiators of radical innovations by fighting the thieves. Of course, this is a difficult decision to make, but recent cases have shown that sometimes even companies and States can miss the mark and reject the very innovations that are most in line with society.

The Megaupload affair highlights the importance of rethinking laws on intellectual property and on the creation and distribution of cultural goods. Another key issue lies in our incapacity to think of economic evolution in a more inclusive way. Perhaps one way of resolving this could be by actually trying to work with the pirates who push the limits of capitalism with their radical innovations that promote new modes of exchange and embody new values?


Rodolphe Durand is the GDF-Suez Professor of Strategy at HEC Paris. In 2010 he received the European Academy of Management’s Imagination Lab Foundation Award for Innovative Scholarship. His work has been published widely in academic journals.

Jean-Philippe Vergne is an assistant professor of strategy at the Richard Ivey School of Business at the University of Western Ontario. His ongoing research on the global arms industry received the inaugural Grigor McClelland Doctoral Dissertation Award in 2011.

Rodolphe and Jean-Philippe recently published The Pirate Organization: Lessons from the Fringes of Capitalism on Harvard Business Review Press.

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December 28, 2012

Our ‘Favorite’ Business Books of 2012

Filed under: Big Ideas,Blog,History and Biographies,Leadership,Personal Development,Personal Finance and Investing,Social Responsibilty,Technology,Thought Leaders,Uncategorized — Tags: Antifragile, best of, Bitter Brew, book list, favorite books, Fine Print, five books, Global Odds, Quiet — Sally @ 11:53 am
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Last week, we released our picks for the Best Business Book of 2012 as well as the eight category winners. Following in the footsteps of the New York Times, if we may, who asked a few of their esteemed book reviewers to reveal a list of their favorite books of 2012 (“Favorite is not synonymous with best, so this process can be painful. Brutal honesty is required. We pick what we actually liked, not what we only admired, although ideally our favorites fit both descriptions” writes Janet Maslin. And also, “In the midnight hour these 10 Favorites — not 10 Bests — call for a gut check. Bottom line, for each of us: Is this a book I’d give to a friend?”), we’ve decided to also share with you a list of our ‘favorite’ business books. For us, we decided this list should consist of books that are square pegs that don’t quite fit into the business book genre’s round holes. Books that are valuable and interesting to the business and/or nonfiction reader, but might have more universal application than the books that were picked for our annual awards. And so…our editorial staff’s favorite books of the year:

Sally – Quiet: The Power of Introverts in a World That Can’t Stop Talking by Susan Cain from Crown Business

The secret to life is to put yourself in the right lighting. For some it’s a Broadway spotlight; for others, a lamplit desk. Use your natural powers–of persistence, concentration, insight, and sensitivity–to do work you love and work that matters. Solve problems, make art, think deeply. [...] Figure out what you are meant to contribute to the world and make sure you contribute it. If this requires public speaking or networking or other activities that make you uncomfortable, do them anyway. But accept that they’re difficult, get the training you need to make them easier, and reward yourself when you’re done.

Dylan – The Fine Print: How Big Companies Use ‘Plain English’ to Rob You Blind by David Cay Johnston from Penguin Portfolio

How the promise of cheap, competitive and unlimited telecommunications service has been turned into a reality of expensive, monopolistic and limited service is just one part of the larger transformation in the American economy since the late 1970s. A host of large industries, including banks, credit card lenders, electric utilities, health care, oil pipelines, Hollywood studios, property insurance, railroads and water companies, all have worked quietly to rewrite America’s economic playbook in their favor. [...] In The Fine Print, we’ll look at how legislatures have rewritten basic business laws, some whose principles date back thousands of years.

Michael – Beating the Global Odds: Successful Decision-making in a Confused and Troubled World by Paul Laudicina from John Wiley & Sons

Today’s leaders and citizens have to accept a world fraught with volatility and disruptive change, and they have to realize that inaction is not a good option. It’s not all bad: This unprecedented volatility is accompanied by an equally unprecedented and compelling convergence of doing well with doing good–a blending of the pursuit of enlightened self-interest with the pursuit of the common good….By leveraging new technological capabilities and employing more dynamic ways of thinking and inspiring the future, we can beat the global odds.

Jon – Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder by Nassim Nicholas Taleb from Random House

Some things benefit from shocks; they thrive and grow when exposed to volatility, randomness, disorder, and stressors and love adventure, and risk, and uncertainty. Yet, in spite the ubiquity of the phenomenon, there is no word for the exact opposite of fragile. Let us call it anti-fragile. [So...] The best way to verify that you are alive is by checking if you like variations. Remember that food would not have a taste if it weren’t for hunger; results are meaningless without effort, joy without sadness, convictions without certainty, and an ethical life isn’t so when stripped of personal risk.

Jack – Bitter Brew: The Rise and Fall of Anheuser-Busch and America’s Kings of Beer by William Knoedelseder from HarperBusiness

Thanks to their beer, the Busch family had tasted all that America ever promised the immigrant class from which they sprang –wealth almost beyond comprehension, political power that provided access to presidents, and a lifestyle rivaling that of history’s most extravagant royals. Along with that, of course, came a king-sized portion of heartbreak, scandal, tragedy, and untimely death. But they had endured…. Of the brewing giants that boomed after Prohibition…only Anheuser-Busch remained as a free-standing, independent company, still operated by the family that founded it.

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December 20, 2012

LeaveSmarter: Martha Rogers

Filed under: Big Ideas,Marketing,Strategy,Thought Leaders — Tags: Don Peppers, Extreme Trust, LeaveSmarter, Martha Rogers — Michael @ 12:29 pm
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Last month, Martha Rogers was in town for our private LeaveSmarter event, sponsored by BMO Harris and Whyte Hirschboek Dudek. Martha delivered a powerful hour-long talk focusing on the benefits of putting the customer at the center of your business.

As Martha puts it, “…it’s about ‘do things right’, ‘do the right thing proactively’.” Check out the video below for just the tip of the customer relationships iceberg. Check out Extreme Trust by Don Peppers and Martha Rogers for the full monty.

 

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November 13, 2012

Antifragile: Things That Gain From Disorder

Filed under: Big Ideas,Innovation,Personal Development,Thought Leaders — Sally @ 1:55 pm
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This morning I perused the Amazon Top 100 for 2012. A few of our favorite books that made the top 20: Nate Silver’s The Signal and the Noise; Charles Duhigg’s The Power of Habit (our JCS review here); and Susan Cain’s Quiet (our take here.) Rounding out the top 40 is a book that’s been sitting on my desk for awhile, daring me to crack it open: Nassim Nicolas Taleb’s Antifragile: Things That Gain From Disorder.

Over the weekend, I took that dare.

Why is reading and summarizing Antifragile such a nervy challenge? Practically, because it is a 544-page tome (with a labyrinthian Table of Contents) that already hints in its title its level of complexity. “Antifragile”–what exactly does that mean? The opposite of fragile? Unbreakable? Solid? And “Things That Gain From Disorder”–advantages to be had from chaos? Circling back around to the title: So, chaos can create solidity? Seems an oxymoron that isn’t going to be easy to get my head around.

Then, there is the author to consider, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, who is most famous for introducing “black swans” to our common lexicon and has since put out many books, including The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable, and Fooled By Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets, that aim to rejigger our understanding of the world and our attempts to make sense of things. The theory of black swan events is that there are rare, highly ‘impactful’ events that happen that cannot be predicted, and should not be thought to be able to be predicted just because hindsight lends us some understanding of the event once it has passed. Antifragile aims to take the black swan theory and apply it more broadly to teach how to live peaceably with random events that may have no explanation but contribute to a greater strength as a whole.

Let’s take a look at the book.

Taleb begins his Prologue with a surprisingly clear and streamlined explanation of the very oxymoron that I touched on above. In the opening section titled, “How to Love the Wind,” Taleb writes:

Wind extinguishes a candle and energizes fire.

Ah, now we see very clearly what we’re dealing with here. While most people fear that change will put out our flame, we have a choice to use change to fan that flame.

Likewise with randomness, uncertainty, chaos: you want to use them, not hide from them. You want to be the fire and wish for the wind. This summarizes this author’s nonmeek attitude to randomness and uncertainty.

We just don’t want to just survive uncertainty, just about make it. We want to survive uncertainty and, in addition–like a certain class of aggressive Roman Stoics–have the last word. The mission is how to domesticate, even dominate, even conquer, the unseen, the opaque, and the inexplicable. How?

There is a lot to learn already about this book in that small section. Taleb has a strong voice and a strong opinion and a certain tendency to reference unfamiliar things (Roman Stoics particularly versus other kinds of stoics, anyone?) that will prompt you to have Wikipedia open on your nearest device as you read. (“Later Roman Stoics focused on promoting a life in harmony within the universe, over which one has no direct control.”) But he is also digging at something that intrigues all of us, so much so that we’ve constructed religions and philosophies around the fear of uncertainty. And as a result, we would all prefer, I think, to become “antifragile” which Taleb defines this way:

Some things benefit from shocks; they thrive and grow when exposed to volatility, randomness, disorder and stressors and love adventure, and risk, and uncertainty. Yet, in spite the ubiquity of the phenomenon, there is no word for the exact opposite of fragile. Let us call it anti-fragile.

And what is the cost of tending too much to the fragile, of wrapping ourselves in a kind of risk-averse bubble wrap? “We have been fragilizing the economy, our health, political life, education, almost everything…by suppressing randomness and volatility.” Taleb reveals, it seems, his interest in the topic, his motivation for writing this book, and the lesson he hopes to bestow on readers (perhaps especially the neurotic ones) in this emphatic line: “I want to live happily in a world I don’t understand.”

Don’t we all? Wouldn’t that be quite a bit easier than trying to understand and be happy in a world that at times defies explanation? But control is seductive. “Black swans hijack our brains, making us feel we “sort-of” or “almost” predicted them, because they are retrospectively explainable.” For example, it’s common for people to respond to a wrench in their plans by saying, with both resignation and purpose, “Ah well, everything happens for a reason.” Taleb is decidedly and emphatically saying the opposite, “No, there is not always a reason for everything: and that’s ok.”

With Antifragile, Taleb is offering us a 500+ page manual to achieve antifragility. He himself admits that here he has become a “practitioner” of his cumulative theories (“I eat my own cooking.”), and this book is “a main corpus focused on uncertainty, randomness, probability, disorder, and what to do in a world we don’t understand, a world with unseen elements and properties, the random and the complex; that is, decision making under opacity.” And throughout, Antifragile is crammed with Taleb’s unique and aggressive style of mixing the scholarly, the historical, the modern, the profound, and even the minutia, amounting to a mountain of thought that Taleb intends will “revive the not well known philosophical notion of doxastic commitment, a class of beliefs that go beyond talk, and to which we are committed enough to take personal risks.” In other words, Taleb wants us to do, not just think about doing.

If I attempted to cover all the ground in Antifragile, this post would be much too lengthy, so let’s jump to Chapter 13: Lecturing Birds on How to Fly. Taleb opens the chapter reflecting on the wheeled suitcase. The wheel was invented some six thousand years ago, and yet, until four decades ago no one thought to put wheels directly on the bottom of a suitcase! What does it take, he seems to be asking, for us to get smarter–practically smarter–faster?

All those brilliant minds, usually disheveled and rumpled, who go to faraway conferences to discuss Gödel, Shmodel, Riemann’s Conjecture, quarks, shmarks, had to carry their suitcases through airport terminals without thinking about applying their brain to such an insignificant transportation problem….And even if these brilliant minds had applied their supposedly overdeveloped brains to such an obvious and trivial problem, they probably would not have gotten anywhere.

I included this quote above because it encapsulates both Taleb’s voice, somewhat haughty and bemused, but also because it reveals a truth made both complex and simple by his explanation. Ingenuity is not the property of the intellectually rich, and sometimes complexity impairs us from creating simple solutions for common problems. Taleb, of course, puts it differently, within the lines of his thesis:

This tells us something about the way we map the future. We humans lack imagination, to the point of not even knowing what tomorrow’s important things look like. We use randomness to spoon-feed us with discoveries–which is why antifragility is necessary.

And from the wheeled suitcase, Taleb takes us through the “sneaky…process of discovery and implementation” in medicine and technology, and his deduction that “both governments and universities have done very, very little for innovation and discoveries, precisely because, in addition to their blinding rationalism, they look for the complicated, the lurid, the newsworthy, the narrated, the scientistic, and the grandiose, rarely for the wheel on the suitcase.” And so, he concludes: “antifragility…supersedes intelligence.” And the risk of believing that all invention comes from great minds (not simple necessity) is that we are hindered by the belief that these great minds can take credit for “lecturing birds on how to fly” when the birds knew how to fly all along.

Antifragile is not an easy book. But, despite its length and breadth of reference, it is a readable book. The constant feed of wisdom–or perhaps awareness is a better word–that generates instant inner reflection (“Hey, I do that!”) is intoxicating, page-turning. It’s a great trip landing on Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s planet, a planet displaying such big and rangy ideas, a topographical map could be constructed as a model for the snaking rivers, the breath-robbing mountains, and the dusty valleys, of his knowledge. Like any adventure, you may be taxed from the constant rough esoteric terrain, but that mirrors what Taleb is advocating in Antifragile. Embrace the volatility “to live in a world that does not want us to understand it, a world whose charm comes from our inability to truly understand it.”

Put another way:

The best way to verify that you are alive is by checking if you like variations. Remember that food would not have a taste if it weren’t for hunger; results are meaningless without effort, joy without sadness, convictions without certainty, and an ethical life isn’t so when stripped of personal risk.

(All quotations taken from advanced copy; Hardcover available November 27th, 2012)

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November 8, 2012

A Conversation with Laurence Weinzimmer, The Wisdom of Failure

Filed under: Audio,Big Ideas — Sally @ 1:02 pm
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The Wisdom of Failure: How to Learn the Tough Leadership Lessons Without Paying the Price by Laurence G. Weinzimmer and Jim McConoughey is a thorough look at how leaders have often failed to learn from the mistakes they have made, as well as how leaders can begin to explore the fertile soil of their failures for the seeds of success. The book is well-organized and accessible, thought-provoking and instructive. It promotes a healthy regard for the value of making mistakes and learning from them. No one need be afraid to try.

Listen to this conversation that we recorded for KnowledgeBlocks, in which co-author Laurence Weinzimmer discusses the thesis of and motivation behind the book, why it’s a valid exercise to examine failure, what types of resistance they met in their research, the three most common types of business mistakes and examples of each, and how these lessons for leaders extend past the bounds of business management.

Play the interview below

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October 23, 2012

A Conversation with Chris Berdik

Filed under: Audio,Big Ideas,Interviews,Jack Covert Selects,Personal Development — Sally @ 8:25 am
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Science journalist Chris Berdik generously lent us 30 minutes of his time for a conversation about his new book, Mind over Mind: The Surprising Power of Expectations. We reviewed his book recently, writing:

In Mind Over Mind, Berdik explains how crucial a role our expectations play—for good and for ill—in many areas of life: addiction, criminal activity, athletic feats, the value of money, witness identification, test scores, even the curing of phantom limbs. Simply by riding the coattails of our expectations, by being “a little less insistent on separating what we imagine and what’s real” our minds can take us places where our bodies or even our reality would hesitate to go, and each of us can use that knowledge to improve ourselves and our performance.

During this conversation, Chris answers these questions:

➻ Considering the double-sided nature of expectations (help? hindrance?), what prompted him to write a book on expectations?
➻ Why did he decide to open Mind Over Mind with a tale about an 18th century healer?
➻ What is his favorite story about how expectations can truly change reality?
➻ What do we learn about expectations from the diverse field of examples he presents in the book?
➻ What were his conclusions when he tried to answer the question, “Why are powerful people so prone to self-destruction?”
➻ How might Mind Over Mind help the general businessperson improve performance?

Play the interview below

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Thanks again to Chris for sharing his time and insights with us! You can read our full Jack Covert Selects review of Mind Over Mind here. Visit Chris’ site here.

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October 2, 2012

An Interview With Steven Johnson

Filed under: Audio,Big Ideas,Blog,Interviews,Technology — Michael @ 11:15 am
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Steven Johnson is the author of eight books, including Where Good Ideas Come From, Everything Bad is Good For You, and The Invention of Air. He is also a contributing editor for Wired magazine. His newest book, Future Perfect is published on Riverhead Books. In Future Perfect, Steven demonstrates a unique perspective that assumes a great understanding of technology, society and communication. This new book offers a voice to a particularly timely need for solutions—a need created by the centralization of power that the world has seen in almost every sector.

Last week, Steven was kind enough to talk to me over the phone and respond to a few questions that I had regarding the ideas in Future Perfect. Click the play button below to listen to the interview.  By way of an outline, here are some of the questions I had for Steven, which he answered in great detail:

At what point in time did the peer progressive type become concrete in your mind?

To what extent does the peer progressive model remain effective without the internet and its supporting technologies?

How did the horizontal organization structure play into the development of the idea of the peer progressive model?

Are there specific sectors that would not benefit from the peer progressive approach?

Play the interview below

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Thanks again to Steven for sharing his time and thoughts with us! Check out my review of Future Perfect here. Visit Steven here.

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September 17, 2012

Future Perfect

Filed under: Big Ideas,Blog,Global Business,Internet,Technology — Michael @ 1:35 pm
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Optimism is a terrific force. But it can be difficult to tap into this force when you’re confronted with information that indicates a steady decline in quality of life, punctuated daily by ‘newsworthy’ events involving such things as global economic demise or a rash of senseless and unexpected murders across one’s country. My spouse and I were recently reassessing our budget due to some changes in healthcare costs and I became depressed over the outcome. I needed a reminder that no, everything around me is not sliding down into the abyss of poverty and social chaos. It’s fortune, then, that led me to Steven Johnson’s new book, Future Perfect: The Case for Progress in a Networked Age.

As the subtitle promises, this book is indeed a case for progress. It provides several cases, actually, in which Johnson’s “Peer Progressive” archetype creates an environment for progress, and then real progress happens. The peer progressive is such an appealing thought even just in theory. Johnson builds the idea from a fundamental crisis of centralized intelligence and power, posed by the economist Friedrich Hayek, who Johnson quotes:

The peculiar character of the problem of a rational economic order is determined precisely by the fact that the knowledge of the circumstances of which we must make use never exists in concentrated or integrated form, but solely as the dispersed bits of incomplete and frequently contradictory knowledge which all the separate individuals possess.

Johnson uses as his primary example of the dysfunctional centralized network the French railway system, the Legrand Star. France had high hopes for The Legrand Star, but as Johnson recounts, the system failed France in 1870, during the Franco-Prussian war, due to the line’s inability to transport from one remote location to another. Everything had to be routed through one line, which formed a transportation bottleneck during a time of great need. Throughout Future Perfect, the Legrand Star becomes a household name, a synonym for the bottleneck. Johnson contrasts this failure with more recent examples of success. The peer progressive model for success is built upon a distributed network, a web or net in which no single point holds or wields an unbalanced amount of power or ability. In the peer progressive world, all members are equally eligible nodes and all contribute to the success of the network.

Peer progressive culture is most alive today via a distributed network that we all use daily: the internet. Both the creation and the operation of the internet reek of peer progressives. One such example of an internet-facilitated network cited by Johnson in Future Perfect is Kickstarter. As of today, Kickstarter has helped fund over 29,000 projects, providing over $300 million to project leaders. The site has quickly become both a tool for the distributed network of creative individuals and a noteworthy source of revenue for the company’s creators. Johnson talks about Kickstarter’s structure:

Both the ideas and the funding come from the edges of the network; the service itself just supplies the software that makes these connections possible. The donors decide which projects deserve support. There are no experts, no leaders, no bureaucrats—only peers. New creative ideas don’t need to win over an elite group of powerful individuals huddled in a conference room, and they don’t need to win over a mass audience. All they need is an informal cluster of supporters, each contributing a relatively small amount of money. [...] Interesting, provocative, polished, ambitious ideas get funding; boring or trivial or spammy ones don’t.

The thrill that Johnson experiences from witnessing the success of Kickstarter both as a company and as a facilitator to the distributed network is well-communicated—I feel that thrill too. (Optimism, yes! He even writes, “How novel is the Kickstarter crowdfunding approach?”) Johnson gives a portrait of possibility for the future of capitalism, not as an extension of what it is now (a bloated, unbalanced network that is essentially a series of Legrand Stars), but as a true capitalism in which future demands come from the people, the members of the distributed network, rather than from some centralized arbiter who lacks Hayek’s ‘knowledge of circumstance’.

The most exciting part of Johnson’s message, though, comes in imagining where else the peer progressive model can have application. Imagine all of the broken systems, both in the private and public sectors. Many of them are built upon centralized networks. Now imagine how wonderful these systems would be if they were operated as distributed networks. The internet is young, and it has already demonstrated an ability to solve problems of bureaucracy by distributing the power of creation to its network (goodbye World Book, hello Wikipedia). The future might not be perfect, but it appears quite a bit brighter through the lens of the peer progressive.

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September 10, 2012

Daring Greatly

Filed under: Big Ideas,Leadership,New Releases,Quotations,Thought Leaders — dylan @ 4:46 pm
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“It is not the critic who counts: not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles or where the doer of deeds could have done better. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood, who strives valiantly, who errs and comes up short again and again, because there is no effort without error or shortcoming, but who knows the great enthusiasms, the great devotions, who spends himself for a worthy cause; who, at the best, knows, in the end, the triumph of high achievement, and who, at the worst, if he fails, at least he fails while daring greatly, so that his place shall never be with those cold and timid souls who knew neither victory nor defeat.”

—Theodore Roosevelt, “Citizenship in a Republic,”
Speech at the Sorbonne, Paris, April 23, 1910

I’ve always loved that quote from the two-term president, naturalist and explorer, soldier and cowboy progressive Teddy Roosevelt. So when I cracked open Brené Brown’s new book, Daring Greatly: How the Courage to Be Vulnerable Transforms the Way We Live, Love, Parent, and Lead, and found that she begins her exploration of vulnerability with an excerpt of that quote—that she had, in fact, pulled the very title of the book from Roosevelt’s speech—I was immediately intrigued and interested in more.

But what does Roosevelt’s description of “the strong man”—the man “whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood, who strives valiantly”—have to do with vulnerability? The author explains it beautifully in her introduction:

The first time I read this quote, I thought, This is vulnerability. Everything I’ve learned from over a decade of research on vulnerability has taught me this exact lesson. Vulnerability is not knowing victory or defeat, it’s understanding the necessity of both; it’s engaging. It’s being all in.

Vulnerability is not weakness, and the uncertainty, risk, and emotional exposure we face every day are not optional. Our only choice is a question of engagement. Our willingness to own and engage with our vulnerability determines the depth of our courage and the clarity of our purpose; the level to which we protect ourselves from being vulnerable is a measure of our ear and disconnection.

When we spend our lives waiting until we’re perfect or bulletproof before we walk into the arena, we ultimately sacrifice relationships and opportunities that may or may not be recoverable, we squander our precious time, and we turn our backs on our gifts, those unique contributions that only we can make.

Perfect and bulletproof are seductive, but they don’t exist in the human experience. We must walk into the arena, whatever it may be—a new relationship, an important meeting, our creative process, or a difficult family meeting—with courage and a willingness to engage. Rather than sitting on the the sidelines and hurling judgement and advice, we must dare to show up and let ourselves be seen. This is vulnerability. This is daring greatly. In the meantime, here’s a bit more from Ms. Brown herself:

In a note that came to me with the book, the publicist wrote that “Brené is the new Tipping Point … Vulnerability is the new leadership.” Curious, cryptic words at first, but just three pages into the book and I understood what she meant. Daring Greatly will be in bookstores tomorrow, and you’ll be hearing more from us on this book, and I hope many others, very soon.

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August 6, 2012

Red Ink

Filed under: Big Ideas,Finance and Economics — dylan @ 5:49 pm
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You may know David Wessel as the white bearded journalist from Washington Week. What you may not know even if you watch that show is how great a writer he is. He is the Wall Street Journal economics editor, has multiple Pulitzer Prizes, and when we were still reeling from financial catastrophe in 2009 he wrote a brilliant book, In Fed We Trust, about the folks putting out the fire that made me feel as the world might not end after all.

His new book, Red Ink: Inside the High-Stakes Politics of the Federal Budget (published last month by Crown Business), isn’t quite as comforting, but it’s also not the apocalyptic screed we’ve become accustomed to hearing when discussing the country’s deficit. Like his previous book, Wessel does a masterful job of taking on a topic that has been hyper-politicized and stripping away the over-sized, hyperbolic rhetoric we’re all force-fed in what passes for political discourse every day and in its place explains clearly and concisely the history of priorities and programs that have brought us to this current moment, and how each side of the aisle has contributed to the debate and the resulting debt we now face. He very smartly walks us through the exact breakdown of how our tax dollars were spent in 2011, but before doing so, Wessel first chronicles the history of the modern budget in six pieces.

For this post, I’ve excerpted a bit of each of those pieces (heavily edited for brevity) below, but if you’re intrigued by this history (or just want to see how to write a brief and brilliant history of a monumental topic through the experiences of just one man that’s been close to it all—in this case Leon Panetta) you’ll want to pick up the book and read more.

The New Deal: The Beginning of “Big Government”

With Social Security—the first of the enduring and popular social programs that enlarged the federal government’s role in providing for the poor, sick, and elderly—FDR also planted the seeds of the modern American welfare state and a bigger federal government. When he died in 1945, government spending, swollen by the cost of fighting World War II, exceeded 40 percent of GDP. It fell after the war but would never return to pre-FDR levels.

“From the mid-1930s to the 1970s, the government made a set of commitments that led to expectations on the part of the American people about what their government owes them,” says Robert Reischauer, a former director of the Congressional Budget Office. “And they’re totally unprepared to go back to a different world.”

The Great Society: Guns, Butter, and Medicare

Before Medicare, only about half the elderly had any health insurance. … But Medicare is a leading example of the law of unintended consequences. It’s a living laboratory. Science moves in unpredictable spurts. Government incentives often do much more or much less than expected. Profit-minded entrepreneurs exploit the government’s largesse. Cost squeezed out of one place pop up elsewhere; save money by discouraging inpatient surgery and outpatient costs skyrocket, for instance. And it is increasingly expensive. Adjusted for inflation, the federal government spent more on Medicare and Medicaid in 2011 than it spent on everything in 1960.

Nixon: Congress Strikes Back

Among his other accomplishments (or transgressions), Richard Nixon antagonized Congress by refusing to spend billions of dollars that lawmakers had approved. In 1974, Congress struck back with the Congressional Budget Act … The most durable innovation was the creation of the Congressional Budget Office, or CBO, which freed Congress from relying almost exclusively on economic forecasts and budget analysis from the White House budget office. [...]

“To a degree that may have been unforeseen when the 1974 act was formulated,” University of Maryland budget maven Allen Schick says, “the new system institutionalized and expanded budgetary conflict.” Eventually, the two branches have to agree on spending bills or the government shuts down. “But first,” says Schick, “they fight … [not] over the details, as was once common, [but] over big policy matters—the size of government, defense versus domestic programs, how much total spending and revenues should rise … whether to cut the defecit by trimming expenditures or by boosting taxes, and so on.”

The Reagan Revolution: The Beast Is Not Starved

The Reagan presidency was styled as a turning point in American politics: the end of the New Deal and the beginning of an era in which government would retreat from the economy. Ronald Reagan made three significant promises during his campaign for the presidency: cut taxes, rebuild the nation’s defenses, and balance the budget. He delivered on the first two, but not the third. [...]

… [T]he result was the 1981 tax cut without the hoped-for spending cuts. [Reagan's budget director David] Stockman famously predicted deficits of “$200 billion a year as far as the eye can see,” numbers that sounded huge at the time. He was prescient. The 1980s broke a pattern in which the federal government ran deficits only in wartime. The deficits topped $200 billion a year from 1983 through 1992. They would have been even bigger if Reagan hadn’t flinched on taxes, accepting significant tax increases in 1982 and 1984.

The Arrival of Surpluses: Reading George H.W. Bush’s Lips

Bush was elected in 1988 with one memorable promise: “Read my lips, no new taxes.” Republican pollster Richar Wirthlin once called them “the six most destructive words in the history of presidential politics.” [...]

Beyond the important details of spending and taxes, the 1990 deal made two significant changes:

It established a pay-as-you-go rule that made it hard for Congress to cut taxes or increase benefits without offsetting tax increases or spending cuts. For more than a decade this rule restrained Congress from significant expansion of government benefits. A decade later, when this rule lapsed, Congress and the president did exactly what the rule was sought to avoid: expanded Medicare to cover prescription drugs without funding the new program.
After bumping up spending in the first year to buy congressional backing for the deal, the 1990 agreement also set multi-year caps on annual appropriations for the first time. Congress was, essentially, tying its own hands, or at least promising to do so. In one sense, the caps held. Adjusted for inflation, annually appropriated spending in 1996 was 13 percent below the 1990 level. [...]

The 1990 deal was only a down payment, though. Debate over how much the government should spend and on what continued.

The Return of Deficits: Tax Cuts, Wars, and Prescription Drugs

For four years, 1998 through 2001, the federal government ran surpluses, a remarkable development that put deficit worrywarts nearly out of business and made all the warnings about rising health care costs and the approaching retirement of baby boomers much less threatening. As a presidential candidate, George W. bush promised to tap the surpluses to cut taxes. [...]

Once in office, George W. Bush delivered on his campaign promise to cut taxes. His first tax cut, in 2001, was smaller than Reagan’s but was followed by additional tax cuts the following four years that collectively exceeded Reagan’s. Simultaneously, most of the spending restraints written into his father’s 1990 deficit deal expired. Then, at the end of Bush’s first year in office, his presidency was redefined by the 9/11 terror attacks, and so was the federal budget. Two wars and intensified efforts at homeland security increased spending significantly. In 2001, defense spending was 3 percent of GDP, half the Reagan-era peak. In 2011, it was 5 percent.

Bush also signed into law the first significant expansion of Medicare in forty years.

Wessel moves on from there to explain the specifics of the budget, where the money comes from, and where it ends up. Would you like to know how farm subsidies came into existence, who receives them, and how exactly they’re paid out? They’ve been around since the Great Depressionm but they’ve changed a great deal since then. Wessel explains:

The 1996 Freedom to Farm Act severed some ling-standing links between the subsidies farmers receive, the crops they grow, and the prices they get for them. For what was supposed to be a five-year transition, the bill offered farmers $5 billion a year in direct payments.

The revolution didn’t last but the new “temporary” payments did. Sixteen years later, about $5 billion in direct-payment checks are still being written annually … These payments are based on an arcane formula tied to what was grown on the land years ago, no matter what crops—if any—are grown on the land now. Because the payment rights transfer with these specific plots, real estate prices are boosted—even on land that has never been cultivated by their current owners. Journalist Dan Morgan calls these payments “an entitlement tied to ownership of land—a construct that some would associate more with 19th century Prussia than 21st century America.” Half of the direct payments go to farmers with incomes above $100,000.

You might also be interested in how farm subsidies are historically connected to food stamps and continue to be to this day. But that is a relatively small part of the budget. How about defense spending, Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security? Maybe you would like to know what non-defense discretionary spending, the 18 percent of our budget that goes for everything from NASA to preschool, actually consists of?

These are all topics I thought I knew a lot more about than I actually did. Wessel does a great job of explaining it all very simply without condescending his reader. The only time I remember his coming close to condescension is when discussing why the defense budget is so contentious, writing “Some of the decisions are too complex for ordinary civilians to understand.” But he’s certainly right on that score, and he does the larger arch of the narrative a service not getting bogged down in specifics that are above 95% of his readers pay-grade to explain the specifics we can all at least begin to get a grasp on—for instance, how many aircraft carriers we need as a nation and how that number affects our budget. He also makes points in simple ways that are succinct and sticky, writing for instance, “The Pentagon is more than an armada, though. It’s also among the world’s largest employers, with all that implies.” And as it turns out, that implies a lot. As Wessel informs us, during the Iraq War “the government was spending as much on healthcare—about $50 billion—as on the war.” And like most employers, that cost has only risen in subsequent years.

Wessel begins the book by quoting Jack Lew:

“The purpose of power is to get things done,” he once said. “Budgets aren’t books of numbers. They’re the tapestry, the fabric, of what we believe. The numbers tell a story, a self-portrait of what we are as a country.”

The problem is that we have two parties that are painting two incredibly different pictures, we’re split as as a population on which is better, and we’re all pretty convinced we’re right. When laid out in front of us in the clam and talented hand of Wessel, we begin to understand in more detail exactly what we’re deciding on, and that while it’s not going to be easy, fixing the deficit is entirely doable. It will most likely not be solved in this election season, but hopefully instead of arguing over illusions we can focus on the issues and begin a national dialogue that does eventually lead to a solution. If you’re interested that dialogue and in further education instead of soundbites and the pontification of pundits this election season, then this is certainly a book for you.

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