December 17, 2009

TIME’s Person of the Year – In Fed We Trust

Time magazine has picked its person of the year, beginning their description of him thus:

A bald man with a gray beard and tired eyes is sitting in his oversize Washington office, talking about the economy.

Hooked yet? Try this:

He’s shy … he prefers to eat at home with his wife, who still makes him do the dishes and take out the trash. Then they do crosswords or read. Because Ben Bernanke is a nerd.

Ben Bernanke was eerily suited to be the Fed Chief during a time of crisis. His life before public service was that of a scholar, and his scholarship was in the Great Depression. That serendipity might just be what has saved us—if indeed we are saved—from another full-blown depression.

Bernanke has caught a lot of political flack for his decisions—from both sides of the aisle. It wasn’t a particularly populist move to pump hundreds of billions of dollars into a financial system that had just failed the country on so many levels. However, as Time’s Managing Editor Rick Stengel stated last night on Charlie Rose, “The financial system and the economy are two different things, but if the financial system goes down, it takes the economy with it.” Being a scholar of the Great Depression, Bernanke knew this and did what he thought necessary to prop up the financial system to stave off the worst-case scenario for the entirety of the American (and therefor world) economy.

There seems to be a growing number of folks distrustful of government intervention in the markets, in any scenario, that are worried about Bernanke’s moves. Ron Paul’s call to literally End the Fed is a bestseller, for example. But even Milton Friedman, the “OG” of distrust in government intervention, thought it necessary for the state to pump money into the economy in times of crisis. As David Wessel asserts in his great book In Fed We Trust: Ben Bernanke’s War on the Great Panic, published by Crown Business in August:

“Today, the notion that the government should or would stand by as the stock market crashed, credit markets stalled, and the economy tumbled over the abyss seems implausibly bizarre. The public, politicians, professors, and the press have been shaped by searing memories or photographs from the Great Depression, the years in which the unemployment rate rose to 25 percent and the county’s output of goods and services declined by 29 percent over four years. The lasting lesson—taught by economists with views as different as John Maynard Keynes and Milton Friedman, the leading economic minds of the twentieth century—is embraced almost universally by politicians and economic policy makers: government can and should act to prevent such a dangerous downward financial and economic spiral” (page 46).

Bernanke went so far as to use Friedman’s ideas to rationalize his intervention:

“The government might, he suggested, cut taxes, increase the federal deficit, and issue bonds that the Fed would buy by printing money. This, he said, was ‘essentially equivalent to Milton Friedman’s famous “helicopter drop” of money.’ (Friedman used the line in 1969 to argue that depression and deflation were avoidable. If nothing else worked, the Fed could send a helicopter to drop dollar bills to get people spending.)” (In Fed We Trust page 78).

This sounds like it could have come straight out of the Keynesian playbook, but Bernanke is no reincarnation of the great John Maynard Keynes,* who, in the words of author Robert Skidelsky, “gave governments two
tasks: to pump up the economy with air when it starts to deflate, and to minimize the chances of serious shocks
happening in the first place.” (Keynes page xiv). Rather, Bernanke has acted an apolitical steward that has worked for two separate, almost ideologically opposite presidents, that has managed to avert an almost certain disaster. I think he’s a fine choice for person of the year, and as Michael Grunwald wrote for TIME:

“He’s earned the benefit of the doubt. It’s now up to our dysfunctional political system to let him do his job—and to fix the financial system so that he never has to save the world again.”

*There were a number of great books published on Keynes and his economic philosophy this year, including:

July 28, 2009

BusinessWeek's Summer Reading '09

Filed under: Careers, History and Biographies, Leadership, Lists, Marketing, Small Business, Strategy — Todd Sattersten @ 7:46 pm

We know summer is already starting to wane, but we haven’t linked to Business Week’s recommending reading for the season. Having recommended quite of few of these, we think this is a great list.

BW also recommends a variety of podcasts including The Small Business Podcast, Get-It-Done Guy, Manager Tools, Help! My Business Sucks!, and SBA Podcasting.

July 20, 2009

A Facebook Tale: Founder Unfriends Pals On Way Up (NPR)

I found this on NPR.org this morning and thought I’d share this on here:

A Facebook Tale: Founder Un-friends Pals On Way Up by All Things Considered, July 19th 2009

Facebook reached another milestone Tuesday: the social-networking site said it signed up its 250 millionth user.

Just five and a half years ago, Mark Zuckerberg invented the site in his Harvard University dorm room. Within months, he became the youngest self-made billionaire in history.

AccidentalZuckerberg’s rise to Internet royalty is dramatized in Ben Mezrich’s new book, The Accidental Billionaires. Mezrich charts Zuckerberg’s transition from Harvard miscreant to Silicon Valley playboy — all while callously shedding himself of the “little people” who helped him on his way up.

“Mark Zuckerberg, after a particularly bad date, was home in his dorm room,” Mezrich tells Guy Raz. “He was a sophomore, he was drinking some beers, and he hacked into all of the computer systems at Harvard, and he pulled pictures of all the girls on campus and he created a hot-or-not Web site where you could vote on who the hottest girl at Harvard was.”

The malicious prank — aptly named facemash — ended up crashing Harvard’s servers, and Zuckerberg was nearly expelled. But with the help of a friend, Zuckerberg turned the prank into the social networking giant it would become.

Mezrich never interviewed Zuckerberg (who in the end “opted out of talking to” the author). But he pieces together the story of Facebook through court documents, articles and interviews with his main source, Eduardo Saverin — Zuckerberg’s spurned friend and original investor.

Mezrich dramatizes whole scenes where he details what “probably happened.” He fends off criticism, denying Business Week’s claim that the book is a “fictionalized account.”

“There are a lot of journalists out there who don’t quite get what I do or are frustrated by the way that I write. I write narrative nonfiction stories,” he says. “It’s an exciting way of taking a true story and opening it up for the readers … It’s certainly not fiction.”

For the complete article to here: http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=106742510&ft=1&f=1032

February 4, 2009

American Lion

Filed under: Book Reviews, History and Biographies, Leadership — Roy @ 9:52 am

In recent days, months even, America has gotten the New Hope via a certain new political leader. But what has come to my attention – slowly at first – seems incredibly relevant and worth mentioning. About a month ago, right after the holiday season, I saw a documentary about Andrew Jackson. What he experienced in his life, how he handled situations, how he got to be president and how he was perceived among political peers was not just interesting, but spellbinding. I thought nothing of it – I thought it was just kind of cool.
I did remember the book American Lion: Andrew Jackson in the White House by Jon Meacham that was published last November, though. I remember that it was this great new take on an American legend and a must read for not just people gaining insight on what it takes to be a leader but for anyone that likes an underdog story. It’s captivating to say the least.
Then today I re-read stories on the NPR web site and they mention this book there: “Jackson consolidated presidential power, enhancing the strength of his veto and using it early and often. And while he passionately opposed a federal bank in the belief that it was his duty to protect the masses from the rich and corrupt, he displayed precious little compassion for the masses who were black or American Indians. Jackson sent the Cherokees on the Trail of Tears.”(by Neda Ulaby)

This book is about the man who changed the way a president was and probably prepared Americans to see what a leader can be. If you have some time – check it out!

November 24, 2008

Barbarians at The Gate – Twenty Years Later

Filed under: History and Biographies — Todd Sattersten @ 11:28 am

The Wall Street Journal site has an interview with Bryan Burrough and John Helyar, authors of Barbarians at The Gate: The Fall of RJR Nabisco. This year is the twentieth anniversary of the book’s publications and Marketwatch’s Jon Friedman ask the authors about comparisons to today’s troubles and what has made the book a lasting success.

November 14, 2008

The Great Inflation and Its Aftermath reviewed in BusinessWeek

Filed under: Finance and Economics, History and Biographies — 800-CEO-READ @ 10:57 am

This week, BusinessWeek writer Chris Farrell reviewed The Great Inflation and Its Aftermath: The Transformation of America’s Economy, Politics, and Society by Robert J. Samuelson.
If you enjoy identifying the ways the current economic situation is reminiscent of past event in recent history (say, the Reagan era and the recessions between the late 1960s and early 1980s), The Great Inflation and its Aftermath will deliver all-too-familiar reminders of economic instability, federal intervention, and renewed faith in the American system of innovation and reconstruction. Samuelson’s book focuses, too, on the shifting influences of pessimism and optimism on economic security.
From the (somewhat tired-sounding) review:

Samuelson believes in the power of ideas, but he doesn’t put much stock in the thoughts of economists. He says they peddle optimism instead of hard-nosed realism to an entitlement-besotted populace. Take the experience of the ’50s through the ’70s. Then, he says, economists sold the Keynesian notion that the business cycle could be fine-tuned into insignificance, wrongly assuring the populace and policymakers that the problem of unemployment could be solved. Instead, the country ended up with roaring inflation. The same over-optimism, many observers believe, characterizes the profession’s embrace of deregulation and free markets. Want to see the effects of free-market prescriptions? Read today’s headlines, they say.
But Samuelson regards economists as having more power than they really do. Hence his worries about the reform ideas now gaining currency, including notions of how to bolster the economic security of the middle class, provide universal health coverage, and curb global warming. The fervor bothers him because it fails to account for the rising cost of the welfare state, enormous household debt burdens, and the “twilight of Pax Americana.”

Samuelson’s book, as the reviewer says, “draws parallels between the Reagan era and today, but underestimates the power of U.S. innovation and resilience.” Perhaps readers are feeling saturated by the clamor of economic woe and constant analysis. It’s hard to say. What do you think?

October 7, 2008

BusinessWeek review of The Snowball

Filed under: Book Reviews, History and Biographies — 800-CEO-READ @ 8:37 am

The new Warren Buffett biography, The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life by Alice Schroeder, is reviewed in BusinessWeek by Amy Feldman:


Buffett’s Ferocious Focus

…Buffett himself has attributed his success to “focus.” Schroeder writes: “He ruled out paying attention to almost anything but business–art, literature, science, travel, architecture–so that he could focus on his passion.” As a child, Schroeder relates, Warren carried around a coin-changer as his prized possession, and when his dad offered him a trip at age 10, he asked to go to the New York Stock Exchange (NYX). Not long after, Buffett read a book called One Thousand Ways to Make $1,000 and announced to a friend that he was going to be a millionaire by the time he was 35. “That was an audacious, almost silly-sounding statement for a child to make in the depressed world of 1941,” Schroeder writes. “But…he was sure he could do it.”
…However, at 838 pages not counting footnotes and index, the book itself would have benefited from some focus. And a good editor might have cut a few of Schroeder’s pet phrases, such as “elephant bumping,” which she uses to refer to gatherings of the rich and powerful. But despite these quibbles, The Snowball is an astute, and at times riveting, read–especially now.

It’s a very favorable review and will give you a good idea of the book’s content and tone. I know Jack is working his way through it right now and will likely have thoughts to offer soon.

September 30, 2008

Snowball or Avalanche?

Filed under: History and Biographies — Todd Sattersten @ 2:01 pm

I am annoyed by the newswire stories that each day report causes for stock market fluctuations without any real substantiation.

I am surprise no one has connected some aspect of the 777 drop in the Dow Jones Industrial yesterday to the release of The Snowball, the new biography about Warren Buffet.

In writing about the new book, Marketwatch did manage to call out Buffet’s Goldman Sachs investment as an example of his prowess for finding bargains.

Should you have any attention left to devote to the coverage of the 976 page biography, The Financial Times and The New York Times both ran reviews over the weekend, complimentary of author Alice Schroeder and the work she did creating a portrait of the “Oracle of Omaha”.

I got my copy today (thanks John!) and will have more to say after I get done checking the latest from AP.

September 29, 2008

Business Books For The Current Credit Crunch

Filed under: Finance and Economics, History and Biographies — Todd Sattersten @ 9:59 am

Shelf Awareness, a great site that follows the book trade, requested book suggestions that would help explain the current credit crisis.

On Friday, they ran the piece under the heading Meltdown Lit: Recommended Books for the Wall Street Debacle. Please go check out the whole piece. There are great suggestions.

Below is our original submission, which they used extensively for the article:

The Subprime Solution by Robert Shiller

Shiller’s work on housing values is well-known and originally established in Irrational Exuberance. His latest book just released in August describes pretty clearly the mortgage crisis we are in and offers some solutions to get out.

Essays on the Great Depression by Ben Bernanke

You want some insight into what the current Fed chairman is thinking, reading his perspective on the last event of this magnitude may help understand what he does in this one.

The Age of Turbulence by Alan Greenspan

Hearing from the latest Fed Chairman might also be useful. Many are laying the blame at Mr. Greenspan’s feet. The paperback that was released on September 9th has a new chapter with his thoughts on the current credit crisis.

When Genius Failed by Roger Lowenstein

This from a review I wrote:

“Throughout When Genius Failed, financial journalist Roger Lowenstein foreshadows the coming doom and so there is no surprise in how the story of Long-Term Capital Management ends. But what Lowenstein does best is show how blind arrogance brought down the company and almost the entire financial system. Building on the work of two Nobel Laureates and growing capabilities of computer technology, Long-Term Capital Management pushed academic theory further into real-world practice than had ever been done before, and becomes a case study for how markets defy formulaic explanation. Lowenstein’s narrative, while set in the complicated financial market of today, tells an ages-old story many will recognize.” (P.S. This was peanuts compared to the current crisis.)

Smartest Guys In The Room by By Bethany McLean and Peter Elkind

This from a review Jack wrote:

“In my research, I have not found any evidence that anybody colluded to rob the place. Smart, rich, influential men do not deliberately destroy the source of their wealth and influence. Instead, they got trapped in a nightmare of their own creation, or perhaps their own ego. Enron’s failure was not deliberate; it was the result of a series of interconnected events. Can this happen again? Sure, when you have hubris at the CEO level, sales peoples’ compensation based on short term success, upper level people totally focused on growth to satisfy short term Wall Street success, an accounting system that supports this concept, and finally an accounting firm that doesn’t do a good job of oversight. Add to this a deregulated industry and watch what happens.” (this sounds familiar too).

September 27, 2008

New Buffet Book Bought and Being Blogged

Filed under: History and Biographies — Todd Sattersten @ 2:08 pm

At the Kempton Ideas Revolution blog, they have managed to get a copy of The Snowball: Warren Buffett and The Business of Life ahead of its Monday release date. It didn’t sound very hard: a call to the local bookstore and a trip over to pick it up.

The blogger is going through the book’s 62 chapters and posting their favorite quote. The quote comes with a photo of the page its on. You can find the flickr slideshow here.

As of this posting, they are four chapters into the book.

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